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Re: [tor-bugs] #10218 [Tor]: Provide "users-per-transport-per-country" statistics for obfsbridges
#10218: Provide "users-per-transport-per-country" statistics for obfsbridges
-------------------------------------------------+-------------------------
Reporter: asn | Owner:
Type: enhancement | joelanders
Priority: Medium | Status:
Component: Tor | assigned
Severity: Normal | Milestone: Tor:
Keywords: tor-bridge tor-pt bridgedb-dist | 0.2.8.x-final
028-triage | Version:
Parent ID: | Resolution:
Sponsor: | Actual Points:
| Points: medium
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Comment (by karsten):
Here's something else we could do to get a first estimate of users per
transport and country that doesn't require adding new statistics.
It turns out that most large bridges (4 out of 5 on February 1, 2016) only
see noteworthy usage via a single transport or have requests via one
transport dominating the others in numbers (74% on the 5th large bridge on
February 1, 2016). Example:
{{{
A72D5DB45D9DE4B244D3F6C4AD22A66F40BF5B87,bridge,responses,,<OR>,,2016-02-01
00:00:00,2016-02-02 00:00:00,4.3
A72D5DB45D9DE4B244D3F6C4AD22A66F40BF5B87,bridge,responses,,obfs3,,2016-02-01
00:00:00,2016-02-02 00:00:00,26892.1
73D8FF840444F84EC50DD755FBAD44CF1F0DE28B,bridge,responses,,<OR>,,2016-02-01
00:00:00,2016-02-02 00:00:00,4.3
73D8FF840444F84EC50DD755FBAD44CF1F0DE28B,bridge,responses,,obfs3,,2016-02-01
00:00:00,2016-02-02 00:00:00,26787.2
88F745840F47CE0C6A4FE61D827950B06F9E4534,bridge,responses,,meek,,2016-02-01
00:00:00,2016-02-02 00:00:00,22049.6
3E0908F131AC417C48DDD835D78FB6887F4CD126,bridge,responses,,<OR>,,2016-02-01
00:00:00,2016-02-01 17:52:31,8.3
3E0908F131AC417C48DDD835D78FB6887F4CD126,bridge,responses,,obfs3,,2016-02-01
00:00:00,2016-02-01 17:52:31,15245.3
3E0908F131AC417C48DDD835D78FB6887F4CD126,bridge,responses,,obfs4,,2016-02-01
00:00:00,2016-02-01 17:52:31,4764.3
3E0908F131AC417C48DDD835D78FB6887F4CD126,bridge,responses,,scramblesuit,,2016-02-01
00:00:00,2016-02-01 17:52:31,476.2
AA033EEB61601B2B7312D89B62AAA23DC3ED8A34,bridge,responses,,<OR>,,2016-02-01
00:00:00,2016-02-02 00:00:00,10.6
AA033EEB61601B2B7312D89B62AAA23DC3ED8A34,bridge,responses,,meek,,2016-02-01
00:00:00,2016-02-02 00:00:00,19024.7
}}}
The four bridges with a single transport are easy. The distribution of
requests by country exactly matches the distribution by country and
transport. Done.
The fifth bridge with multiple transports is trickier. We could assume
that the distribution by country is the same for all transports, that is,
if `CC` (in `[0..1]`) requests came from a given country and `PT` (also in
`[0..1]`) requests came in via a given transport, `x * y` requests can be
attributed to that country and transport. But that assumption may be
wrong. What we could also do as first approximation is find a lower and
upper bound of users by country and transport. The lower bound would
probably be defined as something like `max(0, PT + CC - 1)` (not just `0`
to account for cases where `CC > 1 - PT`) and the upper bound as `min(PT,
CC)`, even though I could be convinced that other formulas are even more
correct.
My guess is that this approximation would provide us with some insights
about actual usage and about requirements for better statistics. The best
part is that all required data is already available, we just need to look
at it.
The bad news is that I don't have the time before the dev meeting to run
this analysis, and I can't even say whether the weeks after the dev
meeting will be any better. That's why I
[https://people.torproject.org/~karsten/volatile/merged-2016-02-01.csv.xz
uploaded the data] for somebody else to do the analysis and publish
results here. Any takers?
--
Ticket URL: <https://trac.torproject.org/projects/tor/ticket/10218#comment:20>
Tor Bug Tracker & Wiki <https://trac.torproject.org/>
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