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Re: [tor-dev] [tor-talk] Client simulation





On 6/7/13 2:37 AM, Karsten Loesing wrote:
(Sorry for cross-posting, but I think this is a topic for tor-dev@, not
tor-talk@.  If you agree, please reply on tor-dev@ only.  tor-talk@
people can follow the thread here:

OK, following up on tor-dev. I thought tor-dev might be the more appropriate list, but the description for tor-talk is "all discussion about theory, design, and development of Onion Routing," whereas that for tor-dev is "discussion regarding Tor development." Maybe since I think more about theory than code, the former description seemed more applicable...

On 6/6/13 7:32 PM, Norman Danner wrote:
I have two questions regarding a possible research project.

First, the research question:  can one use machine-learning techniques
to construct a model of Tor client behavior?  Or in a more general form:
  can one use <fill-in-the-blank> to construct a model of Tor client
behavior?  A student of mine did some work on this over the last year,
and the results are encouraging, though not strong enough to do anything
with yet.

Second, the meta-question:  is it worthwhile to answer the first
question?
[snip]
Hi Norman,

yes, it's worthwhile to answer this question!  I can imagine how at
least Shadow and the Tor path generator would benefit from better client
models.  User number estimates on the metrics website might benefit from
them, too.

I found two tickets where we asked similar questions before, and maybe
there are more tickets like these:

https://trac.torproject.org/projects/tor/ticket/2963

https://trac.torproject.org/projects/tor/ticket/6295

Some very early thoughts:

- How do we make sure that we ask a representative set of people to
instrument their clients and export data on their usage behavior?  If we
only ask people who read their favorite news site twice per day, our
client model will be just that, but not representative for all Tor
users.  (Still, we would know more than we know now.)

- Can we somehow aggregate usage information enough to make it safe for
people to send actual usage reports to us?  I could imagine having a
torrc flag that is disabled by default and that, when enabled, writes
sanitized usage information to disk.  For this we need a very good idea
what we're planning to do with the data, and we'll need to specify the
aggregation approach in a tech report and get it reviewed by the community.

Are your student's results available somewhere?

The written portion of my student Julian Applebaum's Senior thesis is available at

	http://wesscholar.wesleyan.edu/etd_hon_theses/1042/

Our focus in this project (which I left intentionally vague in my posting) was to try to model clients at a very high level. Specifically, we wanted to see if we could model something like the timing patterns of the Tor cells that clients send to the network. An intended application (not yet completely thought through...) would be to use such information to get a more accurate sense of how well timing attacks work, by deploying them (in simulation) against presumably realistic clients. Our strategy was roughly:

* Instrument our guard node to record cell arrival times from clients pseudononymously (i.e., we know when two different cells belong to the same circuit, but we only record circuits as A, B, etc.).
* Record such data for a short period of time.
* Represent each circuit as a time series.
* Cluster the collection of time series using Markov model clustering techniques.

The intent is that each cluster (represented by a single hidden Markov model) represents a "type" of client, even though we don't know for sure what that client type does. We can make some guesses about some: the "type" of steady high-volume cell counts is probably a bulk downloader; the "type" of steady zero cell counts is probably an unused circuit; etc. But in some sense, I'm thinking that what counts is the behavior of the client, not the reason for that behavior. We don't have to instrument clients for this. Of course, then one has to ask whether this kind of modeling is in fact useful. It is somewhat different than what you are envisioning, I think.

There are about a billion variations (at last count) on this theme. We chose one particular one as a test case to play with the methodology. I think the methodology is mostly OK, though I'm not completely satisfied with the results of the particular variation Julian worked on. So now I'm trying to figure out whether to push this forward and in particular what directions and end goals would be useful.

	- Norman

--
Norman Danner - ndanner@xxxxxxxxxxxx - http://ndanner.web.wesleyan.edu
Department of Mathematics and Computer Science - Wesleyan University
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